Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling Population Analysis

SturnidaeGeneralistsSturnus vulgaris

European Starling has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the European Starling

Introduced to North America in the 1890s, the European Starling is now one of the continent's most abundant birds — a glossy, gregarious songbird of farms, towns and cities.

Size
8–9 in long, about 2.8 oz (20–23 cm, 80 g)
Habitat
A broad range of open and wooded habitats, often near people.
Diet
Insects and invertebrates in summer, switching to fruit, grain and refuse the rest of the year.
Range
Recorded on 3,854 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 49 states, most concentrated in the Appalachian Mountains.
Family
Sturnidae · Generalists
Conservation
Least Concern (introduced)

Notable European Starling TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

European Starling has fallen sharply in surveyed states: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

European Starling Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling is projected to fall about 29% by 2030 — from 27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 10.0–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, European Starling is projected to fall about 29% by 2030 — from 27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 10.0–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026221331
2027211231
2028211130
2029201129
20301910.029

Where the European Starling Is Detected

BBS routes recording European Starling, sized by most recent count.

European Starling Population Trend by State

European Starling population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama-40%1968106
Alaska-90%198310
Arizona-44%197066
Arkansas+23%196954
California+48%1970236
Colorado+27%1970137
Connecticut-63%196820
Delaware+26%196817
Florida-18%1968111
Georgia-48%1968105
Idaho-66%197056
Illinois-40%1968105
Indiana+0%196868
Iowa-24%196939
Kansas+5%196967
Kentucky-5%196863
Louisiana-13%196998
Maine-89%196868
Maryland-44%196876
Massachusetts-75%196832
Michigan-54%1968100
Minnesota-67%196989
Mississippi-65%196864
Missouri-24%196995
Montana+145%1970104
Nebraska+96%196976
Nevada+404%197043
New Hampshire-81%196826
New Jersey-56%196844
New Mexico-76%197057
New York-54%1968128
North Carolina-52%1968104
North Dakota+26%196950
Ohio-39%196889
Oklahoma-4%196968
Oregon-13%1970113
Pennsylvania-37%1968133
Rhode Island-67%19687
South Carolina-91%196848
South Dakota+12%196959
Tennessee+16%196850
Texas+86%1969215
Utah+17%197076
Vermont-76%196826
Virginia-78%196879
Washington+38%1970102
West Virginia-64%196863
Wisconsin-43%196896
Wyoming+495%1970116

European Starling Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

European Starling population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Northern Pacific Rainforest+13%1970109
Great Basin+25%1970229
Northern Rockies+50%1970178
Prairie Potholes-33%1969123
Boreal Hardwood Transition-65%1968115
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain-34%196886
Atlantic Northern Forest-79%1968145
Sierra Nevada+0%197127
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau-18%1970170
Badlands and Prairies+923%1969129
Shortgrass Prairie+483%1969130
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+23%1969128
Edwards Plateau+858%197518
Oaks and Prairies+23%196973
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie-44%1968278
Prairie Hardwood Transition-38%1968160
Central Hardwoods-5%1968161
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas-77%196999
Mississippi Alluvial Valley-33%196871
Southeastern Coastal Plain-43%1968318
Appalachian Mountains-60%1968384
Piedmont-59%1968167
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast-52%1968164
Peninsular Florida-25%196874
Coastal California+51%1970121
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts+20%197069
Sierra Madre Occidental-75%197225
Chihuahuan Desert-47%197429
Tamaulipan Brushlands36×197027
Gulf Coastal Prairie+112%196945

European Starling Conservation Status

Least Concern (introduced)

A species introduced to North America; the IUCN Red List rates it as Least Concern in its native range. Our route-weighted index shows it down about 59% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.