Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
European Starling Population Trend in Alaska
European Starling in Alaska has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
-88%Since 1983
10Routes In State
33Years
Notable European Starling Trends in Alaska
long arc declinecomputed index
European Starling has collapsed in Alaska: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
European Starling Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Alaska is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.25 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±208.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±208.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
European Starling Survey Routes in Alaska
| Haines | 12 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Sitka | 9 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Kalifonsky | 8 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Zimovia Strt | 7 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Ketchikan | 4 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Juneau Alt | 2 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Sitka (Short) | 2 | 1991 | 1984 |
| Juneau | 1 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Hatcher Pass | 1 | 2021 | 2007 |
| Thorne Bay 2 | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
European Starling Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.