BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

European Starling Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

European Starling in Georgia has declined: down 49% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-49%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
105Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable European Starling Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Georgia. See the full index history below.

European Starling Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Georgia is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 8.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 2.8–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±24.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Georgia is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 8.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 2.8–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025113.519
2026113.319
2027113.119
2028112.919
2029112.818

European Starling Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording European Starling in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Athens8320241966
Metasville6620001997
Oakman6120241966
Hiram5820181975
Rock Branch4920242005
Stockbridge4220231975
Sharon 23820242023
Cartersville3620241966
Linwood3520231970
Maxeys3220241966
Good Hope2920242005
Fairplay2819911966
Woodstock2820212006
Sunny Side2620192006
Lyons2519941966
Finleyson2420241976
Wadley2420241977
Owensboro2420242010
Davis Crossroads2420212011
Stoney Point2220072007
Bowdon2020241973
Candler2020242009
Hollonville 21620222019
Shannon1520191975
Union1420232014

European Starling Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.