BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

European Starling in Georgia has declined: down 48% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-48%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
105Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable European Starling Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Georgia. See the full index history below.

European Starling Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Georgia is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 13 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 2.8–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Georgia is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 13 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 2.8–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026113.519
2027113.319
2028113.119
2029112.919
2030112.818

European Starling Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording European Starling in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Athens9920251966
Stoney Point 27120252013
Metasville6620001997
Davis Crossroads6420252011
Oakman6120241966
Hiram5820181975
Rock Branch4620252005
Owensboro4520252010
Lincolnton 24420252019
Mountain Cty3720251975
Wadley3620251977
Linwood3520231970
Maxeys3220241966
Rutledge3220251975
Fairplay2819911966
Woodstock2820212006
Sunny Side2620192006
Lyons2519941966
Cartersville2520251966
Candler2420252009
Kite Lake2320252015
Cuthbert2220251967
Good Hope2220252005
Stoney Point2220072007
Henderson2020251973

European Starling Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.