BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

European Starling Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

European Starling in Oklahoma has edged up: up 19% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+19%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
68Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable European Starling Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

European Starling Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 9.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 1.6–31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+79%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–3195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±43%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 9.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 1.6–31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025171.831
2026161.831
2027161.731
2028161.631
2029161.631

European Starling Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording European Starling in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pocola21220161992
Peoria19720231967
Cashion8120241992
Keetonville7120221992
Colcord6720221992
Beggs4720231967
Noble4320241967
Elgin3320151994
Tegarden3120041974
Choctaw3020231967
Colony2919951995
Matoy2920001992
Hooker2820241993
Collinsville2520211967
Ft Sill East2319941994
Beaver2220181980
Mcalester2119911967
Phillips1920081968
Canadian1820171967
Keyes1820242011
Welch1720241967
Indianola1620241967
Chester1519781967
Duncan1520231987
Sandbluff1419951992

European Starling Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.