BirdAnalyst
Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

European Starling Population Trend in New Jersey

All statesGeneralists

European Starling in New Jersey has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-59%Since 1968
43Routes In State
58Years

Notable European Starling Trends in New Jersey

long arc declinecomputed index

European Starling has fallen sharply in New Jersey: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

European Starling Population Forecast in New Jersey

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in New Jersey is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 64 in 2024 to a central estimate of 36 (95% range 4.3–67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-44%Change by 2029
36Projected 2029 index
4.3–6795% range
±23.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025421174
2026419.372
2027397.670
2028375.969
2029364.367

European Starling Survey Routes in New Jersey

Routes recording European Starling in New Jersey.
Masonville35819701966
Holmansville31320091969
Pedricktown29720121991
Clarksville29619911969
Deepwater26119771969
Pedricktown 221620242013
Cape May Ch19120131992
Woodbury Hgt15520241967
Del Haven15119911991
Villas13419811979
Robbinsville12519791966
Greenwich12020241966
Bennett Mill 210420242016
Winslow8720241989
Passaic8619691969
Gillette7720241988
Croton 27720242008
Ramseysburg7520241995
Mt Misery7319891976
Keyport7120221986
Bennett Mill6920001966
Cranbury6720241987
Kemah Lake6120241966
Bloomsbury5720241969
Dover5320231977

European Starling Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.