BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGeneralists

European Starling in Kansas has held roughly steady: up 5% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+5%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable European Starling Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Kansas. See the full index history below.

European Starling Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 22 (95% range 10–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
22Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–3395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 22 (95% range 10–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026221133
2027221133
2028221133
2029221033
2030221033

European Starling Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording European Starling in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trading Post19920252000
Beloit 219020182005
Wellington7420251968
Lapland7120221974
Bucyrus7120252022
Hollenberg4920251969
Pittsburg4220212000
Olathe4120211967
Dalton3620251968
Chapman3319811967
Solomon3320251982
Ashland3120211970
Humboldt2920221968
Wreford2920241968
Ellinor2920251967
Kanopolis2620251967
Albert2020251967
Beloit2020032000
Missler1920191975
Buckeye1820231967
Grantville1820221969
Plymell1820252000
Gray1720191967
Damar1620162000
Leoti1420222002

European Starling Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.