Guild

Generalists

26 species tracked. As a group, generalists are -66%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

Generalists Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Generalists as a group is projected to fall about 43% by 2030 — from 6.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.00–7.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Generalists as a group is projected to fall about 43% by 2030 — from 6.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.00–7.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.20.518.0
20274.10.337.8
20283.90.157.6
20293.70.007.5
20303.50.007.3

Generalists By State

Generalists group trend by state.
Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology →
Virginia-77%11
West Virginia-75%11
Illinois-69%12
Idaho-67%12
Mississippi-66%12
Missouri-66%12
Maine-63%10
Massachusetts-63%11
South Carolina-63%12
Louisiana-62%15
New Jersey-62%11
Kentucky-61%11
Michigan-60%11
Maryland-58%11
Alabama-58%13
Connecticut-57%11
North Carolina-57%12
Ohio-57%9
Indiana-56%10
Arkansas-56%11
Iowa-55%11
Vermont-55%10
Pennsylvania-54%11
Tennessee-54%12
Wisconsin-53%11
Minnesota-52%12
New Hampshire-52%11
Kansas-49%13
New York-48%11
Texas-47%18
Georgia-47%12
Colorado-41%14
Florida-41%15
Nebraska-38%12
Arizona-36%16
Oklahoma-36%15
Alaska-36%6
Oregon-34%11
Rhode Island-34%9
California-29%16
South Dakota-29%12
Utah-23%13
Delaware-21%10
New Mexico-20%17
Wyoming-14%13
Washington-5%11
Montana-1%13
Nevada+38%12
North Dakota+62%12

Member Species

Species in the Generalists guild.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →
House SparrowPasseridae-81%1968
Common GrackleIcteridae-81%1968
Spotted DoveColumbidae-74%1971
European StarlingSturnidae-59%1968
Common Ground DoveColumbidae-53%1968
Rock PigeonColumbidae-50%1968
Northern MockingbirdMimidae-48%1968
Yellow-billed MagpieCorvidae-24%1970
American CrowCorvidae-23%1968
Brown-headed CowbirdIcteridae-9%1968
Fish CrowCorvidae-8%1968
Bronzed CowbirdIcteridae+2%1969
Mourning DoveColumbidae+11%1968
Chihuahuan RavenCorvidae+48%1969
Brewer's BlackbirdIcteridae+100%1968
Inca DoveColumbidae+109%1969
White-winged DoveColumbidae+138%1969
Black-billed MagpieCorvidae+144%1969
House FinchFringillidae+515%1968
Eurasian Tree SparrowPasseridae+642%1969
White-tipped DoveColumbidae+740%1974
Common RavenCorvidae+868%1968
Eurasian Collared-DoveColumbidae184×1988
Monk ParakeetPsittacidaen/an/a
Common MynaSturnidaen/an/a
Shiny CowbirdIcteridaen/an/a