BirdAnalyst
Guild · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Generalists In Florida

All statesFlorida

64 species in this guild. As a group they are -30%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for generalists in Florida. See the full index history below.

Generalists In Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Generalists in Florida is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 5.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.7 (95% range 3.7–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.7–5.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Generalists in Florida is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 5.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.7 (95% range 3.7–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.03.96.0
20264.93.95.9
20274.83.85.9
20284.83.85.8
20294.73.75.8

Member Species In Florida

Generalists species in Florida.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Burrowing OwlStrigidae-97%
Field SparrowPasserellidae-97%
Smooth-billed AniCuculidae-94%
Snail KiteAccipitridae-94%
Painted BuntingCardinalidae-86%
House SparrowPasseridae-86%
Belted KingfisherAlcedinidae-86%
Spot-breasted OrioleIcteridae-84%
Loggerhead ShrikeLaniidae-83%
Orchard OrioleIcteridae-79%
Florida Scrub-JayCorvidae-76%
White-crowned PigeonColumbidae-75%
Magnificent FrigatebirdFregatidae-75%
Red-winged BlackbirdIcteridae-71%
Eastern Screech-OwlStrigidae-68%
Common Ground DoveColumbidae-67%
Mangrove CuckooCuculidae-59%
Seaside SparrowPasserellidae-59%
Common GrackleIcteridae-53%
American Barn OwlTytonidae-53%
Northern MockingbirdMimidae-51%
Eastern TowheePasserellidae-50%
Wood StorkCiconiidae-49%
Yellow-billed CuckooCuculidae-48%
Bachman's SparrowPasserellidae-48%
Indigo BuntingCardinalidae-45%
Boat-tailed GrackleIcteridae-42%
Fish CrowCorvidae-40%
Blue JayCorvidae-35%
LimpkinAramidae-34%
Summer TanagerCardinalidae-29%
American KestrelFalconidae-22%
European StarlingSturnidae-22%
Ruby-throated HummingbirdTrochilidae-17%
AnhingaAnhingidae-14%
Red-tailed HawkAccipitridae-6%
Brown ThrasherMimidae-6%
Turkey VultureCathartidae+4%
Common MynaSturnidae+11%
Northern CardinalCardinalidae+12%
Cooper's HawkAccipitridae+44%
Monk ParakeetPsittacidae+46%
Rock PigeonColumbidae+53%
American CrowCorvidae+55%
Short-tailed HawkAccipitridae+63%
Great Horned OwlStrigidae+77%
Blue GrosbeakCardinalidae+90%
Red-shouldered HawkAccipitridae+92%
Barred OwlStrigidae+110%
Yellow-breasted ChatIcteriidae+118%
Broad-winged HawkAccipitridae+125%
Black VultureCathartidae+132%
Brown-headed CowbirdIcteridae+207%
Mourning DoveColumbidae+219%
Gray CatbirdMimidae+225%
OspreyPandionidae+289%
Swallow-tailed KiteAccipitridae+455%
Eurasian Collared-DoveColumbidae+472%
House FinchFringillidae+503%
Bald EagleAccipitridae+506%
Mississippi KiteAccipitridae+585%
Wild TurkeyPhasianidae+689%
White-winged DoveColumbidae12×
Crested CaracaraFalconidae14×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.