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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida has surged: up 433% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

+433%Since 1988TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
98Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
39YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Florida: up 433% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida is projected to rise about 148% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.1 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±210.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+148%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±210.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida is projected to rise about 148% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.1 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±210.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19862030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.00.0011
20275.00.0011
20285.00.0011
20295.10.0011
20305.10.0011

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Plantation K8120041986
Key Largo4419911987
Gardner3619991993
Ft Waltn Bch3420111992
Sandy3320151997
Redlands2420241994
Sugarloaf Key2420042003
Lovedale2020111999
Ridge Harbor1820251993
Shawano 21420072004
Blountstown1320251998
Boca Raton1319941994
Davie1320171994
Kendall1319911991
Kenansville1220251998
Santa Rosa1220031994
Scottsmoor1120251992
New Hope1120112009
Defuniak Spr1020172001
Pennywash Cr920242003
Myakka Head820111994
St Lucie820251998
Sandy 2820252016
Pinetta720251999
Clewiston720222016

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradogeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.