BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida has surged: up 472% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

+472%Since 1988TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
98Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
38YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Florida: up 472% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida is projected to rise about 151% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.5 (95% range 0.00–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±226.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+151%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±226.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida is projected to rise about 151% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.5 (95% range 0.00–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±226.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19862029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.30.0012
20265.40.0012
20275.40.0012
20285.40.0012
20295.50.0012

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Plantation K8120041986
Key Largo4419911987
Gardner3619991993
Ft Waltn Bch3420111992
Sandy3320151997
Redlands2420241994
Sugarloaf Key2420042003
Lovedale2020111999
Ridge Harbor1520241993
Shawano 21420072004
Boca Raton1319941994
Davie1320171994
Kendall1319911991
Santa Rosa1220031994
St Lucie1220241998
New Hope1120112009
Defuniak Spr1020172001
Kenansville920241998
Pennywash Cr920242003
Myakka Head820111994
Crewsville820242000
Clewiston720222016
Indiantown 2720232019
Childs620221994
Scottsmoor620241992

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradogeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.