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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oklahoma has surged: up 66× on the route-weighted index since 2004.

66×Since 2004TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
57Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
23YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Oklahoma: up 66× on the route-weighted index since 2004.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 29% by 2030 — from 6.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 6.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.1–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 29% by 2030 — from 6.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 6.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20022030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20267.24.89.5
20277.55.29.8
20287.85.510
20298.15.810
20308.46.111

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hooker3520252006
Pocola2920162005
Phillips2820252003
Cooperton2120252011
Ardmore1820252025
Elgin1420162013
Indianola1420252015
Keyes1420242008
Sickles1320212004
Sandbluff1220252025
Beggs1020232007
Beaver1020182013
Arapaho1020142005
Verden920172015
Erick820242006
Hardesty820242007
Heyburn720252008
Felt620242007
Cashion620242013
Grimes520252014
Hollis520252013
Duncan520252013
Big Cedar420242010
Mill Creek420252012
Baron420182008

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.