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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska has surged: up 101× on the route-weighted index since 2004.

101×Since 2004TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
22YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Nebraska: up 101× on the route-weighted index since 2004.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 9.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 9.1–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.2%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+32%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
9.1–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±39.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 9.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 9.1–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.2%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20022029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025107.213
2026117.714
2027118.114
2028128.614
2029129.115

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sumner2920242008
Stratton2920242013
Hay Springs2920242018
Kenesaw2620242008
Dalton2520242003
Hampton2520242018
Arthur2420242006
Kearney2120242008
Murdock2120242018
Paxton1820162007
Boelus1820222018
Richland1520242004
Crookston1520242018
Sargent1520242021
Surprise1420242006
Seward1320242007
Sparta1320212009
Wheeler Co1320242019
Belvidere1220242008
Bartley1220242015
Petersburg1220232009
Kimball1220222002
Holbrook1120242014
Tilden1120242019
Winside 21020222022

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.