BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska has surged: up 113× on the route-weighted index since 2004.

113×Since 2004TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
68Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
23YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Nebraska: up 113× on the route-weighted index since 2004.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 11 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 9.7–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
9.7–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±30.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 11 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 9.7–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20022030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026117.814
2027118.314
2028128.814
2029129.215
2030139.715

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Brownson5620252021
Murray Lake4220252005
Sumner3920252008
Kenesaw3120252008
Berea2920252011
Petersburg2820252009
Richland2620252004
Arthur2320252006
Tilden2220252019
Madison2120252019
Hampton2120252018
Wheeler Co2120252019
Bartley1920252015
Kearney1820252008
Paxton1820162007
Boelus1820222018
Sparta1720252009
Sargent1720252021
Dalton1620252003
Murdock1620252018
Berwyn 21520252014
Belvidere1220252008
Hay Springs1220252018
Agate 21020252007
Stratton1020252013

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.