BirdAnalyst
Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Indiana

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Indiana has risen sharply: up 67% on the route-weighted index since 2008.

+67%Since 2008TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
18YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in IndianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has risen sharply in Indiana: up 67% on the route-weighted index since 2008.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Indiana is projected to rise about 40% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.03–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+40%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.18Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–0.3395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±36.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Indiana is projected to rise about 40% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.03–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20052029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.160.010.31
20260.170.010.32
20270.170.020.32
20280.170.020.33
20290.180.030.33

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Indiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cyprss520112011
Hebron220222018
Knox220192019
Newberry220242005
Pimento220162008
Jamestown220232023
Brookville220242024
Millersburg120242014
Kewanna120212021
Middlebury120172005
Indian Spgs120212021
Kankakee Sands120062006
W Lafayette120222022
Monticello120242024
Middletown120192019
Rensselaer120242009
Montpelier120232023
Wallace120172017

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.