BirdAnalyst
Species · Idaho · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Idaho

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Idaho has surged: up 680% on the route-weighted index since 2009.

+680%Since 2009TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
18YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in IdahoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Idaho: up 680% on the route-weighted index since 2009.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Idaho

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Idaho is projected to rise about 80% by 2030 — from 3.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 3.0–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±94.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+80%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.0–7.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±94.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Idaho is projected to rise about 80% by 2030 — from 3.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 3.0–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±94.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20072030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.62.36.9
20274.82.57.1
20285.02.67.3
20295.22.87.5
20305.43.07.7

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Idaho

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Idaho.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pocatello5020192010
Ririe3720252008
Mud Lake2720252007
Dubois2320252010
Cedar Hill1820242008
Preston1720232014
Baker1520242012
Springfield1320182007
Triangle1120252009
Joel920242013
Gifford520172010
Blacks Creek420172015
Blackft Res220182008
Leadore220242012
Craters220172010
Magic Mtn220142014
Acequia220122012
Picabo220252009
Bates220222011
Daniels Res220252015
Pasadena Val220162007
Naples120252015
Tractor Flat120172016
Centerville120252025
Crane Creek120162009

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.