BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Missouri

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Missouri has surged: up 657% on the route-weighted index since 2006.

+657%Since 2006TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
70Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
20YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Missouri: up 657% on the route-weighted index since 2006.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Missouri is projected to rise about 84% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.5–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+84%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.5–3.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±54.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Missouri is projected to rise about 84% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.5–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20042029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.91.22.6
20262.01.32.7
20272.11.42.8
20282.21.52.9
20292.21.53.0

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Kahoka2920242012
Hayti920212016
Handley720232006
Kennett720242015
Graydon620172009
Reeds620232012
Queen City620182018
Mcfall620242008
Cassville520242022
New Point520242005
Pulaski420242012
Weston420222013
Rueter420222022
Barks420242017
Richland420212015
Pineville320242006
Cameron320232006
Barnard320192009
Watson320242008
Rensselaer320222005
Madison320242006
Huntsville320232011
Rockingham320222022
Milford320242015
Sticklervill320172017

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.