BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Texas has surged: up 215× on the route-weighted index since 1998.

215×Since 1998TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
217Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
29YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eurasian Collared-Dove in Texas. See the full index history below.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Texas is projected to rise about 43% by 2030 — from 6.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 9.0 (95% range 6.0–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±79.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+43%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.0–1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±79.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Texas is projected to rise about 43% by 2030 — from 6.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 9.0 (95% range 6.0–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±79.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19962030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20268.04.911
20278.25.211
20288.55.512
20298.85.712
20309.06.012

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pecos7020172017
Lamesa6420252002
Hondo4620252003
Mentone4220152004
Twichell3820252008
Dallas2720192012
Lag Atascosa2620252003
Henrietta2520222005
Raymondville2520252006
Waka2520252006
Progreso2320112002
Hawley2220252007
Encinal2120102000
Manor 22020252025
Panhandle1920252007
Utopia1720252005
Thornton 21620102009
Devils R Cyn1620252007
Beaver Creek1620252003
Loyola Beach 21620252010
Mount Zion1520252003
Charlie1520252004
Rotan1420242015
Brite1420252002
Indianola1320242002

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.