BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Mississippi has surged: up 681% on the route-weighted index since 1999.

+681%Since 1999TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
28YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Mississippi: up 681% on the route-weighted index since 1999.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Mississippi is projected to rise about 163% by 2030 — from 0.68 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.19–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±150.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+163%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.19–3.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±150.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Mississippi is projected to rise about 163% by 2030 — from 0.68 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.19–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±150.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19972030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.70.123.3
20271.70.143.4
20281.80.153.4
20291.80.173.4
20301.80.193.4

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cybur1020192002
Isola620222007
Lucien520082000
Moon520192007
Lake420242005
Macon420251997
Winterville420112011
Tchula 3420232006
Necaise420192005
Mt Carmel320102003
Leaf River320132013
Weir320242018
Amite River320132008
Embry320252005
Benton220252003
Okatibbee L.220082007
Olive Branch220002000
Cockrum220242012
Tallahatchie220162016
Grenada Lake220162016
Tupelo220222010
Benndale220232007
Eagle Lake220252012
Olive Branch 2220212016
Dundee120222003

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.