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Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Kansas has surged: up 79× on the route-weighted index since 2003.

79×Since 2003TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
60Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
23YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eurasian Collared-Dove Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Kansas: up 79× on the route-weighted index since 2003.

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Kansas is projected to rise about 30% by 2029 — from 6.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 7.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.2–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±32.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Kansas is projected to rise about 30% by 2029 — from 6.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 7.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20012029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20257.65.99.3
20267.96.29.6
20278.26.59.9
20288.66.910
20298.97.211

Eurasian Collared-Dove Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Missler4920192005
Gray2820192003
Grigston1820242006
Leoti1820222009
Lincolnville1520242013
Wellington1420242008
Ellinor1320242005
Albert1320242008
Hollenberg1220232010
Ulysses1220242006
Leoville1120182006
Seneca1120222001
Beloit 21120182012
Coats1020242009
Lakin1020222009
Susank1020222016
Berwet920242007
Plymell920242005
Dalton820242009
Covert820242013
Morehead820242010
Rexford820242010
Solomon820192011
Ashland720212007
Ruleton720222006

Eurasian Collared-Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.