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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Monk Parakeet Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Monk Parakeet in Florida has increased: up 46% on the route-weighted index since 1991.

+46%Since 1991TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Monk Parakeet Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Monk Parakeet in Florida. See the full index history below.

Monk Parakeet Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Monk Parakeet in Florida is projected to rise about 90% by 2028 — from 0.09 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.02–0.31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±146.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+90%Change by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.16Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.02–0.3195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±146.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Monk Parakeet in Florida is projected to rise about 90% by 2028 — from 0.09 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.02–0.31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±146.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19892028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.150.010.30
20250.160.010.30
20260.160.010.30
20270.160.010.31
20280.160.020.31

Monk Parakeet Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Monk Parakeet in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Kendall819911991
Citrus Park420062005
Vero Beach319981995
Redlands320231999
Plantation K219951990
Sebastian219891989
Davie220171994
Aripeka220172003
Ridge Harbor220232013
Pleasant Gr120052005
Myakka Head120062006

Monk Parakeet Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.