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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-winged Dove Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Florida has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

12×Since 1979TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
53Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
46YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-winged Dove Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Florida: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

White-winged Dove Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Florida is projected to rise about 121% by 2030 — from 1.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.3–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±80.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+121%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.3–3.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±80.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Florida is projected to rise about 121% by 2030 — from 1.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.3–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±80.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19772030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.21.13.3
20272.31.23.4
20282.31.23.4
20292.31.23.4
20302.41.33.5

White-winged Dove Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Redlands7120241994
Webb1920252016
Kendall1419911987
Ocala820252004
Ridge Harbor720252000
Pleasant Grove 2720252010
Crewsville620252000
Devils Gardn620192016
Shawano520012001
Romeo420182009
Mabel420072003
Childs420221985
Shawano 2420072004
Arbuckle420191987
Davie420171987
Indiantown 2320252018
San Antonio320052004
St Lucie320251995
Oak Grove220112011
Ft Waltn Bch220102007
Port St Joe219991999
Hilliard220152015
Dupuis W.E.A220111994
Indiantown220161977
Mt. Olive220042004

White-winged Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradogeorgiaillinoiskansaslouisianamississippinebraskanevadanew-mexicooklahomatexasutah

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.