BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-winged Dove Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Texas has surged: up 485% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+485%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
194Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-winged Dove Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Texas: up 485% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

White-winged Dove Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.7 (95% range 4.2–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.2–9.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.7 (95% range 4.2–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.33.78.8
20266.43.88.9
20276.53.99.0
20286.64.09.1
20296.74.29.2

White-winged Dove Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
George West10620241967
Three Rivers9420241994
Quitman Cyn.6920091999
Lone Oak6820191993
Guerra5820231988
Canutillo4420241994
Boerne4220242004
Presidio4220232000
Encinal4120101971
Kingsville4020241980
Devils R Cyn3920241994
La Pryor3820172001
Stowell3620211997
Rhome3520242003
Loyola Beach 23420232010
Creedmore3220112003
Indian Mtn2920241976
Hawley2920131999
Pecos2920172017
El Sauz2820231993
Osage2620212014
Dripping Spg2620242005
Utopia2520241984
Sejita2420241994
Mentone2320152002

White-winged Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaillinoiskansaslouisianamississippinebraskanevadanew-mexicooklahomautah

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.