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Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-winged Dove Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Texas has surged: up 537% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+537%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
197Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-winged Dove Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Texas: up 536% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

White-winged Dove Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.8 (95% range 4.3–9.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-0%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.3–9.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.8 (95% range 4.3–9.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20266.43.98.9
20276.54.09.0
20286.64.19.1
20296.74.29.2
20306.84.39.3

White-winged Dove Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Three Rivers18920251994
Devils R Cyn8120251994
George West7020251967
Quitman Cyn.6920091999
Lone Oak6820191993
Canutillo5420251994
Encinal4120101971
Kingsville4020241980
Utopia4020251984
La Pryor3820172001
Dripping Spg3720252005
Creedmore3220112003
Lamesa3120252006
Pecos2920172017
El Sauz2820231993
Quitman Canyon 22820252010
Boerne2620252004
Osage2620212014
Sejita2420241994
Leakey2320251997
Mentone2320152002
Guerra2220251988
Panhandle2220212011
Indian Mtn2120251976
San Ygnacio2019851967

White-winged Dove Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.