BirdAnalyst
Guild · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Generalists In Oklahoma

All statesOklahoma

62 species in this guild. As a group they are -16%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1969.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for generalists in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Generalists In Oklahoma Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Generalists in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 6.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.7 (95% range 4.5–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.5–6.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±4.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Generalists in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 6.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.7 (95% range 4.5–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.84.67.0
20265.84.67.0
20275.84.67.0
20285.74.56.9
20295.74.56.9

Member Species In Oklahoma

Generalists species in Oklahoma.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Northern HarrierAccipitridae-94%
Loggerhead ShrikeLaniidae-87%
Baltimore OrioleIcteridae-86%
Orchard OrioleIcteridae-80%
Gray CatbirdMimidae-74%
Brown ThrasherMimidae-67%
Field SparrowPasserellidae-64%
Scaled QuailOdontophoridae-58%
House SparrowPasseridae-58%
American GoldfinchFringillidae-57%
Black-billed MagpieCorvidae-57%
Brown-headed CowbirdIcteridae-57%
Belted KingfisherAlcedinidae-53%
Northern MockingbirdMimidae-51%
Ruby-throated HummingbirdTrochilidae-44%
Sharp-shinned HawkAccipitridae-42%
Eastern Screech-OwlStrigidae-40%
Blue JayCorvidae-33%
Yellow-billed CuckooCuculidae-26%
American CrowCorvidae-20%
American KestrelFalconidae-17%
Rock PigeonColumbidae-13%
Mississippi KiteAccipitridae-4%
Black-billed CuckooCuculidae-1%
Chipping SparrowPasserellidae-0%
Ferruginous HawkAccipitridae+4%
Mourning DoveColumbidae+9%
White-winged DoveColumbidae+12%
Red-winged BlackbirdIcteridae+13%
Bullock's OrioleIcteridae+18%
European StarlingSturnidae+19%
Painted BuntingCardinalidae+28%
Brewer's BlackbirdIcteridae+30%
Common GrackleIcteridae+40%
Red-tailed HawkAccipitridae+56%
American Barn OwlTytonidae+57%
Northern CardinalCardinalidae+66%
Great Horned OwlStrigidae+68%
Broad-winged HawkAccipitridae+69%
Blue GrosbeakCardinalidae+71%
Indigo BuntingCardinalidae+77%
Yellow-headed BlackbirdIcteridae+81%
Yellow-breasted ChatIcteriidae+98%
Cooper's HawkAccipitridae+117%
Swainson's HawkAccipitridae+122%
Summer TanagerCardinalidae+135%
Barred OwlStrigidae+135%
Turkey VultureCathartidae+171%
Bachman's SparrowPasserellidae+208%
Black-chinned HummingbirdTrochilidae+213%
Scarlet TanagerCardinalidae+214%
Rufous-crowned SparrowPasserellidae+269%
Eastern TowheePasserellidae+302%
Red-shouldered HawkAccipitridae+509%
Black VultureCathartidae+535%
House FinchFringillidae+731%
Burrowing OwlStrigidae+735%
Fish CrowCorvidae+753%
Wild TurkeyPhasianidae+811%
Chihuahuan RavenCorvidae12×
Great-tailed GrackleIcteridae18×
Eurasian Collared-DoveColumbidae59×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.