BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Finch Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

House Finch in Oklahoma has surged: up 731% on the route-weighted index since 1984.

+731%Since 1984TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
45Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
36YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable House Finch Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

House Finch has surged in Oklahoma: up 731% on the route-weighted index since 1984.

House Finch Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 115% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.89 (95% range 0.35–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+115%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.89Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.35–1.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±73.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 115% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.89 (95% range 0.35–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19752029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.820.281.4
20260.840.291.4
20270.860.311.4
20280.870.331.4
20290.890.351.4

House Finch Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording House Finch in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Beaver1320031997
Keetonville920221999
Phroso519991999
Baron520152003
Verden520171996
Pocola520162001
Grimes420242017
Erick420241992
Arapaho420132001
Randlett320042004
Noble320211999
Hardesty320151980
Bethel320122005
Keyes320231995
Reed220102010
Peoria220231996
Collinsville220212000
Colony219951995
Wainwright220111994
Hunter220181996
Clear Lake220152013
Hooker220241994
Duncan220081994
Skiatook220181998
Big Cedar120192018

House Finch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.