BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

House Finch Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

House Finch in Texas has increased: up 40% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+40%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
193Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable House Finch Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for House Finch in Texas. See the full index history below.

House Finch Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.2 (95% range 2.2–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.2Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.2–6.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±35%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.2 (95% range 2.2–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.12.06.1
20274.12.16.1
20284.22.16.2
20294.22.26.2
20304.22.26.3

House Finch Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording House Finch in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Devils R Cyn5220251994
Cactus3919941994
Girvin3620251976
Bear Mtn3620251988
Pantex3520251974
Wink2819861975
Pecos2720172017
Eldorado2520231975
Dallas1920251997
Shafter1919851969
Delaware Crk1920151971
Saragosa1820252023
Salt Flat1720151995
Sierra Blanc1720251999
Quitman Canyon 21720252010
Indian Mtn1620251976
Quitman Cyn.1620091999
Black Gap1520251988
Leakey1520251994
Kosse1420142003
Weatherford1420251999
Longfellow1420251968
Van Horn1420252017
Rankin1220251968
Rockspring1220251994

House Finch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.