BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Finch Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

House Finch in Texas has edged up: up 20% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+20%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
191Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable House Finch Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for House Finch in Texas. See the full index history below.

House Finch Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Texas is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 2.1–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+25%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–6.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Texas is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 2.1–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.02.06.1
20264.12.06.1
20274.12.16.2
20284.22.16.2
20294.22.16.2

House Finch Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording House Finch in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Devils R Cyn4220241994
Cactus3919941994
Wink2819861975
Pecos2720172017
Eldorado2520231975
Van Horn2420242017
Bear Mtn2220241988
Canutillo2120241994
Shafter1919851969
Longfellow1920241968
Delaware Crk1920151971
Mirando City1720241969
Salt Flat1720151995
Quitman Cyn.1620091999
Hondo1520241970
Dallas1520241997
Black Gap1520231988
Presidio1520232000
Rockspring1520241994
Silver1520242002
Kosse1420142003
Girvin1420241976
Ft. Stockton1320242004
Marathon1220232004
Comstock1120231969

House Finch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.