BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Finch Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGeneralists

House Finch in Mississippi has surged: up 251% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

+251%Since 1994TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
38Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable House Finch Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

House Finch has surged in Mississippi: up 251% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

House Finch Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Mississippi is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 0.84 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.97 (95% range 0.20–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.97Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.20–1.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±56.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Mississippi is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 0.84 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.97 (95% range 0.20–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19922029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.910.141.7
20260.930.161.7
20270.940.171.7
20280.960.191.7
20290.970.201.7

House Finch Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording House Finch in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Tchula 31820161996
Tupelo1420222003
Lucien820132008
Water Valley720182015
Fayette620131992
Benndale520222001
Lake420242007
Okatibbee L.320081996
Aberdeen320242007
Duffee320071999
Isola220002000
Cockrum220242012
Duck Hill220211996
Forest220092000
Cybur220192008
Corinth220241994
Macon220241998
Warren Vick220192019
Winterville220092009
Shelby220212009
Necaise220222001
Dundee120032002
Benton120222017
Utica120182018
Tippo120162016

House Finch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.