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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Oklahoma has edged up: up 19% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+19%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
71Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 20% by 2030 — from 62 in 2025 to a central estimate of 50 (95% range 31–68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-20%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
50Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
31–6895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 20% by 2030 — from 62 in 2025 to a central estimate of 50 (95% range 31–68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026503168
2027503168
2028503168
2029503168
2030503168

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hooker41420251992
Clear Lake25220251992
Hunter18920241992
Hardesty18420241970
Cooperton12420251992
Rosston12220181967
Lookout12120251967
Colony9119951995
Arapaho9120141992
Beaver8820181979
Reed8620191968
Grimes8620251967
Cashion8520241992
Randlett8420251967
Wakita8220161967
Felt7920241968
Cookietown7720061968
Wichita Mtns7619941994
Keyes7420241992
Erick6520241969
Ft Sill West6519941994
Ft Sill East6519941994
Jet6320241992
Douglas5920221967
Sickles5020211992

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.