BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Oklahoma has held roughly steady: up 9% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+9%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
71Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 70 in 2024 to a central estimate of 49 (95% range 30–67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
49Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
30–6795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 70 in 2024 to a central estimate of 49 (95% range 30–67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025493067
2026493067
2027493067
2028493067
2029493067

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hooker44220241992
Cooperton21520241992
Hunter18920241992
Hardesty18420241970
Clear Lake16820241992
Rosston12220181967
Colony9119951995
Arapaho9120141992
Beaver8820181979
Reed8620191968
Cashion8520241992
Wakita8220161967
Felt7920241968
Cookietown7720061968
Wichita Mtns7619941994
Keyes7420241992
Erick6520241969
Ft Sill West6519941994
Ft Sill East6519941994
Randlett6320241967
Jet6320241992
Woodward6320241992
Hollis6120241993
Douglas5920221967
Sickles5020211992

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.