BirdAnalyst
Species · Colorado · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Colorado

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Colorado has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-18%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
156Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in ColoradoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Colorado. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Colorado

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Colorado is projected to fall about 34% by 2030 — from 29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 0.00–44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-34%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Colorado is projected to fall about 34% by 2030 — from 29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 0.00–44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026220.0047
2027210.0046
2028210.0045
2029200.0044
2030190.0044

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Colorado

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Colorado.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Prospect Val23120001992
Wildhorse L15820251988
Doyle Bridge14419971992
Edler13620251992
Briggsdale13020251968
Flagler11520251997
Prospect Valley 211220252001
Fleming10920251968
Adams Co.10520221989
Bennett10320251995
Cheyenne9520251990
Campo9520251988
Kiowa 29520252019
Pritchett9520251995
Fruita9320071988
Kirk9020231992
Two Buttes8820251973
Gilpin8620251970
Amherst8420241992
Limon8220251992
Pinneo7720251973
Nunn7020251995
Crowley6920241989
Neegrande6820251992
Last Chance6720161968

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.