BirdAnalyst
Species · Colorado · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Colorado

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Colorado has edged down: down 21% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-21%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
155Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in ColoradoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Colorado. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Colorado

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Colorado is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 0.00–44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Colorado is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 0.00–44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025220.0047
2026220.0046
2027210.0045
2028200.0045
2029190.0044

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Colorado

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Colorado.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Prospect Val23120001992
Doyle Bridge14419971992
Wildhorse L13120241988
Limon12320241992
Bennett11320181995
Prospect Valley 211120232001
Adams Co.10520221989
Fruita9320071988
Kirk9020231992
Cheyenne8920241990
Kiowa 28720242019
Rush8420241983
Amherst8420241992
Pritchett8220241995
Briggsdale8120241968
Two Buttes8020151973
Last Chance 27720242017
Mcphee Res.7420241996
Lay7020241996
Crowley6920241989
Last Chance6720161968
Haswell6720241992
Nunn6620211995
Elbert6420241998
Gilpin6320241970

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.