BirdAnalyst
Species · Michigan · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Michigan

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Michigan has increased: up 29% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+29%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in MichiganNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Michigan. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Michigan

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Michigan is projected to rise about 25% by 2030 — from 22 in 2025 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 20–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+25%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
20–3695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Michigan is projected to rise about 25% by 2030 — from 22 in 2025 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 20–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026271936
2027271936
2028281936
2029281936
2030282036

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Michigan

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Michigan.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Juniata6420241966
North Branch5519991974
Bell Oak 25120252016
Richmond4920241999
Lapeer4820252000
Cohoctah4720252021
Allegan Wma4320191993
Waldenburg4220171968
Chippewa Lk.4220251992
Lawrence4020251969
Coopersville4020251979
Remus4020251974
Holt4020251969
Deckerville4020241978
Galesburg3920251966
Fowlerville3820191974
Sand Lake3820251978
S Lyons3819921966
Nashville3720251968
Belding 23720252004
Rochester3720251993
Belding3520031983
Bell Oak3520141966
Mayfield3520252000
St Charles3320191967

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.