BirdAnalyst
Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Michigan

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Michigan has increased: up 32% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+32%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in MichiganNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Michigan. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Michigan

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Michigan is projected to rise about 24% by 2029 — from 23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 20–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+24%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
20–3695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Michigan is projected to rise about 24% by 2029 — from 23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 20–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025281936
2026282036
2027282036
2028282036
2029282036

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Michigan

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Michigan.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Juniata6420241966
Holt6020241969
Lapeer5720242000
Lawrence5520241969
North Branch5519991974
Bell Oak 25420232016
Richmond4920241999
Galesburg4620241966
Belding 24620242004
Cohoctah4520242021
Allegan Wma4320191993
Waldenburg4220171968
Deckerville4020241978
Maple Rapids3820231987
Fowlerville3820191974
S Lyons3819921966
Mayfield3820222000
Coopersville3520241979
Belding3520031983
Howardsville3520241969
Bell Oak3520141966
Nashville3420241968
St Charles3320191967
Ola3320241974
Sand Lake3220241978

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.