BirdAnalyst
Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Nevada

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Nevada has declined: down 40% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-40%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
56Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in NevadaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Nevada. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Nevada

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Nevada is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.5 (95% range 0.00–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-50%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±25.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Nevada is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.5 (95% range 0.00–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025100.0024
20269.90.0024
20279.80.0024
20289.60.0023
20299.50.0023

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Nevada

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Nevada.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Nelson6120241995
Charleston Reservoir5220242024
Toiyabe Nf5120241987
Piute Mdws4120242005
Cortez3920241968
Vya3419741969
Calico Spr3419741968
Caliente3320191988
Ash Meadows3320241993
Ranchogrande3120241988
Fallon2920241992
Carson River2720052001
Walker Can2620241968
Chimney Res.2420242005
Sand Pass2020241979
Mizpah2020241988
Gardnerville1920121992
Jarbidge1720152006
Gardnerville 21620242013
Beatty1420241986
Ruby Valley 21420242004
Humboldt Nf 21420242021
Majors Place1320241968
Jean Lake1320131973
Ruby Valley1320011997

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.