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Species · Alabama · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Alabama

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Alabama has edged down: down 14% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-14%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Alabama. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Alabama is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 32 in 2025 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 18–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
18–3795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Alabama is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 32 in 2025 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 18–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026281938
2027281938
2028281937
2029281937
2030281837

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Rock Chapel12720241995
Elkmont9720251990
Birmingham8419951969
Howard7720251966
Calebee6920251993
Cottonton6720251966
Newton6720241966
Grangeburg6420241966
Summitt6119811966
Mt Olive6020251966
Wheeler Dam5620251993
Georgetown5520251994
St Florian5320251967
Talladega5320251996
Hillsboro4919961966
Swaim4920251966
Brantley4820251966
Lakeview4820251999
Eufaula4520241996
Valhermoso Spgs4420101966
Dearmanville4419831966
Harrell4420251968
Alabama Pt4420031966
Foley4219841966
Whitehall4220251983

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.