BirdAnalyst
Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Alabama

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Alabama has edged down: down 14% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-14%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Alabama. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 28 (95% range 18–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-7%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
18–3795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 28 (95% range 18–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025281938
2026281938
2027281937
2028281937
2029281837

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Rock Chapel12720241995
Birmingham8419951969
Talladega6820241996
Newton6720241966
Grangeburg6420241966
Summitt6119811966
Elkmont6020241990
St Florian5320241967
Cottonton5320241966
Hillsboro4919961966
Lakeview4720241999
Warrior Std4620241966
Mt. Gilead4620241993
Swaim4520241966
Eufaula4520241996
Valhermoso Spgs4420101966
Dearmanville4419831966
Alabama Pt4420031966
Foley4219841966
Mt Olive4120241966
Calebee4120241993
Wheeler Dam4020231993
Epes3920241980
Courtland3820231997
Alabama Pt 23820192004

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.