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Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Kansas has edged down: down 15% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-15%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 69 (95% range 50–88). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+6%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
69Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
50–8895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 69 (95% range 50–88). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025705189
2026705189
2027695088
2028695088
2029695088

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Covert25620241967
Kanopolis17620241967
Coldwater16820221969
Ash Valley15420192000
Susank14920222000
Albert14620241967
Beloit 214320182005
Solomon13420191982
Hays12120141967
Phillipsburg11520221967
Logan11520221967
Ruleton11320221981
Gove11120221970
Leoville10920181967
Ashland10720211969
Minneapolis10520191967
Jewell10520051967
Dalton10420241968
Missler10420191975
Chapman10019811967
Jewell 210020242006
Lincolnville9720242002
Damar9420162000
Beloit9320032000
Leoti8920222000

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.