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Species · Kansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Kansas has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-12%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 69 (95% range 50–88). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
69Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
50–8895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 69 (95% range 50–88). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026705189
2027705189
2028695088
2029695088
2030695088

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Covert26320251967
Kanopolis19820251967
Albert17920251967
Coldwater16820221969
Ash Valley15420192000
Susank14920222000
Beloit 214320182005
Dalton13620251968
Hays12120141967
Ruleton11320221981
Gove11120221970
Leoville10920181967
Logan10920251967
Ashland10720211969
Minneapolis10520191967
Jewell10520051967
Missler10420191975
Chapman10019811967
Phillipsburg9720251967
Lincolnville9720242002
Plymell9520252000
Damar9420162000
Beloit9320032000
Leoti8920222000
Solomon8820251982

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.