BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Arizona has edged down: down 24% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-24%Since 1970
90Routes In State
56Years

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in Arizona

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Arizona. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Arizona is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 26 (95% range 0.00–56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
26Projected 2029 index
0.00–5695% range
±14%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025290.0058
2026280.0058
2027270.0057
2028270.0057
2029260.0056

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Arizona.
Cactus Forest16520241991
Palo Verde15420131992
Coolidge15119851974
Hope10520091990
Red Rock 29220242015
Bartlett Res7520241992
Happy Jack6320241977
Wickenburg6120232017
New River5320161974
Ajo 25220222009
Cabeza Priet4920241993
Forest Lakes4820241992
Mcneal4820241992
House Rock4720221968
Ajo4620081968
Pomerene4520241968
Amado4520231993
Antares4320241994
Florence4219881968
Skull Valley4220241996
Pisinimo4119931992
Palo Verde 23920242014
Quartzsite3820241974
Mormon Lake3619751968
Araby3620231992

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.