BirdAnalyst
Species · South Carolina · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in South Carolina

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in South Carolina has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+1%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
51Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in South CarolinaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in South Carolina. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in South Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in South Carolina is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 34 (95% range 23–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
34Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
23–4595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in South Carolina is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 34 (95% range 23–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026342345
2027342345
2028342345
2029342345
2030342345

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in South Carolina

Routes recording Mourning Dove in South Carolina.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Salem Xrd9920191982
Dillon7320211970
Green Sea6920252010
Blacksburg6520131998
New Holland6420251967
Pinewood6220191998
Campobello6020252010
Anderson5820181977
Coward5620251966
Nixville5520251998
Barton Creek5420221967
Kingstree5320102010
Olar4720191998
Sandhills4320251994
Pendleton4219761966
Landrum4219921972
Rome4120251967
Bishopville3920251970
Bennettsville3720171998
Holly Hill3620251972
Red Bluff3620251996
Boykin Ml Pd3519681966
Owings3320041992
Mount Pisgah3320251998
New Ellenton3020252010

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.