BirdAnalyst
Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in South Carolina

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in South Carolina has held roughly steady: up 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+8%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
51Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in South CarolinaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in South Carolina. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in South Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in South Carolina is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 24–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+23%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
35Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–4595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in South Carolina is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 24–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025342445
2026342445
2027352445
2028352445
2029352445

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in South Carolina

Routes recording Mourning Dove in South Carolina.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Salem Xrd9920191982
Sandhills7520241994
Dillon7320211970
Blacksburg6520131998
Pinewood6220191998
Rome5920241967
Anderson5820181977
Barton Creek5420221967
Kingstree5320102010
Holly Hill5020241972
New Holland5020241967
Olar4720191998
Pendleton4219761966
Landrum4219921972
Red Bluff3920241996
Green Sea3720242010
Bennettsville3720171998
Boykin Ml Pd3519681966
Campobello3520242010
Mount Pisgah3520211998
Nixville3420211998
Owings3320041992
Ward3320212017
Ridgeway3220212010
Joanna3220231999

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.