BirdAnalyst
Species · New Hampshire · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in New Hampshire

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in New Hampshire has surged: up 282% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+282%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in New HampshireNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mourning Dove has surged in New Hampshire: up 282% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in New Hampshire

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in New Hampshire is projected to rise about 83% by 2030 — from 9.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 17 (95% range 7.6–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+83%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
17Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.6–2695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±77.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in New Hampshire is projected to rise about 83% by 2030 — from 9.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 17 (95% range 7.6–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026167.125
2027167.226
2028177.426
2029177.526
2030177.626

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in New Hampshire

Routes recording Mourning Dove in New Hampshire.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dover2320251966
Canterbury2220251966
Brentwood2019981966
Fitzwilliam1820251966
Marlow1820251966
East Kingston1620251999
Lempster1320251967
Epsom1120251967
Concord1120251966
Gilmantn I W1120251969
Milan1120251971
Walpole1020251966
Strafford820251966
Peterborough720251966
Mt Chocorua720251967
Wilmot520251971
Glen520251975
Hopkinton420251966
Franconia420251966
Jefferson Hl320251970
Clarksville220251975
Stratford120241966
Dixvil Notch120171967
Jeffers Ntch120251993
Dixville Notch 2120252018

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.