BirdAnalyst
Species · New Hampshire · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in New Hampshire

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in New Hampshire has surged: up 304% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+304%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in New HampshireNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mourning Dove has surged in New Hampshire: up 304% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in New Hampshire

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in New Hampshire is projected to rise about 58% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 17 (95% range 8.2–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+58%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
17Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.2–2695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±78.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in New Hampshire is projected to rise about 58% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 17 (95% range 8.2–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025177.626
2026177.726
2027177.926
2028178.026
2029178.226

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in New Hampshire

Routes recording Mourning Dove in New Hampshire.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dover3020241966
East Kingston2320241999
Canterbury2220241966
Fitzwilliam2120241966
Brentwood2019981966
Concord1820241966
Marlow1620241966
Strafford1520241966
Peterborough1220241966
Franconia1220241966
Gilmantn I W1120241969
Lempster1020241967
Jefferson Hl1020241970
Epsom820231967
Hopkinton720241966
Wilmot720241971
Mt Chocorua720241967
Walpole720241966
Dixville Notch 2420242018
Milan220241971
Clarksville220241975
Glen220241975
Stratford120241966
Dixvil Notch120171967
Jeffers Ntch120241993

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.