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Species · Wyoming · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Wyoming

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Wyoming has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-11%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
135Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in WyomingNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Wyoming. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Wyoming

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wyoming is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 2.9–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-33%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wyoming is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 2.9–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025123.621
2026123.421
2027123.320
2028123.120
2029122.920

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Wyoming

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Wyoming.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chugwater16020241979
Green River9319841977
Lingle9220241980
Bear Creek8920241968
Arvada7120241982
Wyarno7020241974
Clarkelen5319781968
Worland5220241992
Black Rock 25120242010
Redbird4719891968
Pine Bluff4720241979
Seely4520001990
Newcastle4320241988
Carter 24220242017
Seedskadee 23820242024
Yoder3620241968
Shawnee3620241988
Midvale3520241974
Frannie3520241989
Ethete3220241991
Cheyenne2820241980
Sussex2520241991
Harmony2320231980
Basin2120241970
Schoonover2120241982

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.