BirdAnalyst
Species · Wyoming · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Wyoming

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Wyoming has edged down: down 14% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-14%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
135Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in WyomingNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Wyoming. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Wyoming

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wyoming is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 11 (95% range 2.8–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wyoming is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 11 (95% range 2.8–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026123.520
2027123.320
2028123.220
2029113.020
2030112.820

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Wyoming

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Wyoming.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chugwater16020241979
Green River9319841977
Lingle9220241980
Rozet6420251991
Clarkelen5319781968
Redbird4719891968
Yoder4520251968
Seely4520001990
Pine Bluff4520251979
Seely 24520252001
Lovell4420251989
Schoonover4320251982
Worland4320251992
Wyarno3920251974
Newcastle3820251988
Seedskadee 23820242024
Riverview3520251982
Midvale3320251974
Thunder Basin3320252011
Frannie3220251989
Arvada3220251982
Dayton2620251980
Ethete2620251991
Sussex2620251991
Gebo2320251980

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.