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Species · Indiana · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Indiana

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Indiana has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-18%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
69Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in IndianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Indiana. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Indiana is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 42 (95% range 26–57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
42Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
26–5795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Indiana is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 42 (95% range 26–57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026422758
2027422658
2028422658
2029422658
2030422657

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Indiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Brookville13120251966
Newberry9920251999
Witts Station9720252000
Decatur8320251999
Spencer8220241967
New Phila7920251982
Jamestown7820251986
Clear Spring7620251981
Plainfield7319991999
Scottsburg7020251982
Indian Spgs6620251982
Maplewood6420212000
Packertown6320041967
Washington5620251987
Celestine5320251979
Shelbyville5220251983
Wabash5120251981
Packertown 25120252005
Pimento4920251981
Muncie4719971981
Azalia4720251982
Kewanna4620221981
Monticello4520251981
Galveston4520251981
Brazil4320251966

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.