BirdAnalyst
Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Indiana

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Indiana has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-18%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
69Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in IndianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Indiana. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Indiana is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 42 (95% range 26–58). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+6%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
42Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
26–5895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Indiana is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 42 (95% range 26–58). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025422658
2026422658
2027422658
2028422658
2029422658

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Indiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Newberry9020241999
Indian Spgs8820241982
New Phila8520241982
Spencer8220241967
Scottsburg8120241982
Washington7720241987
Plainfield7319991999
Maplewood6420212000
Packertown6320041967
Brookville6220241966
Hebron6020221966
Celestine5920241979
Packertown 25420242005
Jamestown5320241986
Azalia5320241982
Clear Spring5320241981
Decatur5320241999
Middletown5120241966
Georgia5020241999
New Brunswick4920242024
Galveston4720241981
Muncie4719971981
Berne4720241966
Kewanna4620221981
Witts Station4620242000

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.