BirdAnalyst
Species · Wisconsin · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Wisconsin

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Wisconsin has surged: up 86% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+86%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
98Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in WisconsinNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mourning Dove has surged in Wisconsin: up 86% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Wisconsin

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 30 (95% range 24–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–3695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 30 (95% range 24–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025292335
2026292335
2027292335
2028302436
2029302436

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Wisconsin

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Wisconsin.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pardeeville7220241967
Paris7120241966
Raymond6620241966
N Andover6320241967
Beloit6320241998
Wiota6120241966
N Freedom5520241966
Saxeville5420241966
Trempealeau5320241966
Fall River5220241966
Princeton5120241966
Clintonville4820241967
Eden4820241966
Hazel Green4820241966
Omro 24720242002
Grimms4720211998
Weyerhauser4520241966
Manitowoc4320241966
Pt Washingtn4320241966
Holland4220241998
Omro4120011966
Kiel4120221998
Manawa4020241966
New Lisbon4020241967
Stetsonville4020241990

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.