BirdAnalyst
Species · Wisconsin · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Wisconsin

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Wisconsin has surged: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+92%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
98Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in WisconsinNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mourning Dove has surged in Wisconsin: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Wisconsin

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 30 (95% range 24–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–3695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 30 (95% range 24–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026292335
2027292335
2028292435
2029302436
2030302436

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Wisconsin

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Wisconsin.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Raymond7220251966
Wiota6920251966
Annaton6720251998
N Freedom6420251966
Paris6120251966
Fall River6020251966
Pardeeville5820251967
N Andover5620251967
Weyerhauser5320251966
Unity5220251967
New Lisbon5220251967
Hazel Green5220251966
Princeton5120241966
Mukwonago 25020252005
Meridean4920251998
Trempealeau4820251966
Omro 24820252002
Beloit4820251998
Brownsville4720251966
Grimms4720211998
Gresham4620251998
Kiel4520251998
Buena Vista4420251998
Manitowoc4320241966
Rolling Pr4320251966

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.