BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Nebraska has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+1%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
76Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Nebraska is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 79 in 2024 to a central estimate of 64 (95% range 44–85). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
44–8595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Nebraska is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 79 in 2024 to a central estimate of 64 (95% range 44–85). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
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Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hay Springs23420242018
Brownson20820212021
Arthur17820241985
Brownlee16020241990
Dalton15520241968
Stratton13820241975
Eagle Creek13820241967
Oglala Nat. Grass.13620231999
Pine Ridge12420241999
Bartley11620241967
Ringgold10820241985
Hendley10820242018
Gordon10620241975
Brady10620241980
Murray Lake10620241987
Sargent10620242021
Sumner10120241967
Boelus9620222018
Berea9520191980
Sutherland9420242023
Swan Lake9320231969
Bassett9320242018
Liberty 29320072004
Liberty9220031967
Crawford9220241980

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.