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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Nebraska has edged up: up 13% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+13%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
76Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Nebraska is projected to fall about 20% by 2030 — from 82 in 2025 to a central estimate of 65 (95% range 44–86). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-20%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
65Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
44–8695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Nebraska is projected to fall about 20% by 2030 — from 82 in 2025 to a central estimate of 65 (95% range 44–86). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026674588
2027664587
2028664587
2029664587
2030654486

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dalton21620251968
Berea21120251980
Hay Springs17920252018
Gordon15820251975
Arthur14120251985
Midway13320251967
Culbertson12820252018
Brady12720251980
Kimball12620251975
Ringgold12120251985
Eagle Creek11720251967
Crawford11720251980
Swan Lake11620251969
Maxwell11620252018
Murdock11220252018
Sumner10420251967
Hendley9820252018
Bartley9720251967
Boelus9620222018
Crescent Lk9420251980
Liberty 29320072004
Liberty9220031967
Johnstown9220251967
Pine Ridge9220251999
Oglala Nat. Grass.9220251999

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.