BirdAnalyst
Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Maryland

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Maryland has increased: up 26% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+26%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
76Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in MarylandNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Maryland. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Maryland

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Maryland is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 30 (95% range 23–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
23–3795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±3.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Maryland is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 30 (95% range 23–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025302337
2026302337
2027302337
2028302337
2029302337

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Maryland

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Maryland.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cheltenham8520041966
Williamsport7920241966
Emmitsburg7220241966
Wheaton6720241990
Olney6320241966
Cokesbury6320241966
Matthews5220241966
Tall Timbers5120141966
Vienna5120241966
Ijamsville5020241986
Upper Xrds4820081966
Pleasant Val4620241966
Eklo4520181966
Silver Spg4419891966
Madonna4320222009
Pr Frederick4220241991
La Plata3920091966
Fair Hill3819961992
Bachman Mill3720241966
Golden Hill3620241966
Madison3620241966
Finzel3620241995
Pt Republic3419891966
Melitota3320241966
Piney Neck3320241966

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.