BirdAnalyst
Species · Maryland · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Maryland

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Maryland has increased: up 28% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+28%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
76Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in MarylandNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Maryland. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Maryland

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Maryland is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 31 (95% range 24–38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–3895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±4.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Maryland is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 31 (95% range 24–38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026312438
2027312438
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2029312438
2030312438

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Maryland

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Maryland.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Williamsport8620251966
Cheltenham8520041966
Olney7720251966
Emmitsburg6420251966
Bachman Mill5420251966
Island Creek5220251991
Tall Timbers5120141966
Ijamsville5120251986
Honga5020251966
Upper Xrds4820081966
Golden Hill4820251966
Cokesbury4720251966
Newark4620251966
Eklo4520181966
Melitota4520251966
Vienna4520251966
Wheaton4520251990
Silver Spg4419891966
Madison4420251966
Easton4320251966
Madonna4320222009
Pr Frederick4320251991
La Plata3920091966
Fair Hill3819961992
Pleasant Val3620251966

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.