BirdAnalyst
Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Washington

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Washington has edged down: down 16% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-16%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
91Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in WashingtonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Washington. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Washington

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Washington is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 7.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.8 (95% range 4.8–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.8–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±44.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Washington is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 7.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.8 (95% range 4.8–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20259.74.715
20269.74.715
20279.84.715
20289.84.815
20299.84.815

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Washington

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Washington.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mesa7820081994
Othello6319911981
Scootney Reservoir4320242009
Columbia Nwr3920221992
Lake Chelan3720241988
Turnbull Nwr3420231993
Nighthawk2820241992
Laurier2820221995
Ellensburg2720241981
Odessa2620241993
Wapato2520221971
Connell2520151968
Deer Park2220151994
Kendall2120241994
Hatton2019941992
Ewan1820191983
Port Angeles1720241970
Pomeroy1720241992
Ewan 21720242023
Keller1620071968
Bickleton1620191980
Harwood1519971993
Asotin1420241971
Waitsburg1420041994
Twisp1320241969

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.