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Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Louisiana

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Louisiana has surged: up 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+84%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
100Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in LouisianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mourning Dove has surged in Louisiana: up 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Louisiana

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Louisiana is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 32 (95% range 24–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
32Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–4095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Louisiana is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 32 (95% range 24–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025312339
2026312339
2027322440
2028322440
2029322440

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Louisiana

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Louisiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mayflower9320241967
Bickham8320241972
Floyd7620211988
Maurice5920241988
Brousville5920241998
Tensas Nwr5420241987
Ltl Chenier 25020112010
Rayville4920081967
Transylvania4920221998
Delhi4620212011
Shaw4420241967
River Road4420241987
Frogmore4320241998
Hackberry 24320242018
Roseland3920241967
Port Allen3920242000
Mer Rouge3820081967
Rayville 23820242009
Junior3619911987
Trout3620241988
Kaplan3620231998
Burr Ferry3620241987
Ltl Chenier3420241986
Concord3420192006
Clay3320241968

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.