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Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Mississippi has edged down: down 22% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-22%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
74Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Mississippi is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 26 (95% range 15–38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
26Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
15–3895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Mississippi is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 26 (95% range 15–38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025271539
2026271539
2027271539
2028271539
2029261538

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Tchula 29719941976
Tchula9519751970
Walthall7519871970
Commerce6719931966
Shelby6120242009
Macon6020241966
Winterville5420112009
Mt Carmel5220161974
Tippo5120241996
Isola4920221968
Amite River4320132008
Tupelo3720221966
Scooba3719821967
Aberdeen3620241970
Eagle Lake3520242012
Tallahatchie3320241996
Tchula 33120241995
Panther Swamp Nwr3020182016
Benndale2920231974
Olive Branch 22720222016
Latimer2620191988
Embry2520241988
Dundee2420221970
Cybur2420191966
Neely2420121974

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.