BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Ohio

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Ohio has increased: up 42% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+42%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
89Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Ohio is projected to rise about 21% by 2030 — from 36 in 2025 to a central estimate of 43 (95% range 31–56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
43Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
31–5695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Ohio is projected to rise about 21% by 2030 — from 36 in 2025 to a central estimate of 43 (95% range 31–56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026433056
2027433056
2028433156
2029433156
2030433156

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Omega14920241966
Newport11419941966
Marion 210920252024
Harveysburg10519961966
Bismark10119951967
Tecumseh9619821966
Dresden9420251966
Dunlap8919881966
Wilmington8319961966
Cuba7420241992
Garrettsvile7219911966
Baxter Ridge7120251998
London7120121997
Vickery6920251996
Kenton6820251966
Darrtown6320211966
W Carrollton6220151989
Cosmos6020191966
Kalida5620251966
New Dover5620221966
Greasy Ridge5519911966
Port William5220241997
Pittsfield5120241992
Kings Creek5120151992
Fulton5120251966

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.