BirdAnalyst
Species · Oregon · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Oregon

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Oregon has edged down: down 16% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-16%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
130Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in OregonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Oregon. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oregon is projected to fall about 55% by 2030 — from 11 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-55%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±62.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oregon is projected to fall about 55% by 2030 — from 11 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.20.0011
20275.10.0011
20285.00.0011
20294.90.0011
20304.80.0010

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Oregon.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trout Creek7220251996
Adrian5620251984
Deschutes5120251968
Bridgeport4920251986
Alvord Lake4120251968
Twickenham4120252010
Umatilla3820251988
Pendleton3720251972
Catlow Rim3520251993
Sparta2920251971
Donnybrook2919971997
Eightmile2720251982
Fish Lake2720251972
Montague2620251974
Buchanan2520251971
Blizzard Gap2520251984
Madras2420251997
Crooked Riv.2420251996
Lapham Res.2320251994
Clover Creek2220251972
Crowley2120251983
Mikkalo1920251996
Malheur Res.1820232022
Princeton1719851972
Harney Lake1620241993

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.