BirdAnalyst
Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Oregon

All statesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Oregon has edged down: down 19% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-19%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
129Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mourning Dove Trends in OregonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Oregon. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oregon is projected to fall about 46% by 2029 — from 8.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.5 (95% range 0.00–10.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-46%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–10.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±57.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Oregon is projected to fall about 46% by 2029 — from 8.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.5 (95% range 0.00–10.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.90.0010
20264.80.0010
20274.70.0010
20284.60.0010
20294.50.0010.0

Mourning Dove Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Oregon.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Umatilla12420231988
Deschutes4620241968
Clover Creek4020241972
Alvord Lake3420241968
Fish Lake3420241972
Trout Creek3420211996
Adair3020241971
Twickenham3020242010
Bridgeport2920221986
Donnybrook2919971997
Pendleton2720241972
Montague2620241974
Monument2520241993
Catlow Rim2120241993
Buchanan2020241971
Eightmile2020241982
Mikkalo1820231996
Madras1820241997
Malheur Res.1820232022
Princeton1719851972
Cecil1720241998
Adrian1620211984
Harney Lake1620241993
Crowley1520241983
Paisley1520241973

Mourning Dove Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.