Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

European Starling Population Trend in North Carolina

European Starling in North Carolina has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-52%Since 1968
104Routes In State
58Years

Notable European Starling Trends in North Carolina

long arc declinecomputed index

European Starling has fallen sharply in North Carolina: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

European Starling Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in North Carolina is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 24 (95% range 11–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029
24Projected 2029 index
113795% range
±11.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025251338
2026251238
2027251238
2028241237
2029241137

European Starling Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording European Starling in North Carolina.
Beargrass20319811966
Jarvisburg16319991992
Craven Gap11019751969
Shallotte9519911967
Jamesville8220241983
Cherryville8019681966
Sawmill7320241990
Congleton7320242001
Sturgills6720242001
Speed6120241966
Call6120241968
Dortches5620241990
Climax5420241966
Monticello5220241990
Rowland5120241990
Old Trap4820242010
California 24720242014
Pinelog4720242001
Fairmont4619811968
Copeland4620241968
Arapahoe4419951966
Saxapahaw4320231966
Ernul4320092001
Jarvisburg 24220222000
Mattamuskeet4120211998

European Starling Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.