Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
European Starling Population Trend in North Carolina
European Starling in North Carolina has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-52%Since 1968
104Routes In State
58Years
Notable European Starling Trends in North Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
European Starling has fallen sharply in North Carolina: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
European Starling Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in North Carolina is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 24 (95% range 11–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+12%Change by 2029
24Projected 2029 index
11–3795% range
±11.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25 | 13 | 38 |
| 2026 | 25 | 12 | 38 |
| 2027 | 25 | 12 | 38 |
| 2028 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
| 2029 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
European Starling Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Beargrass | 203 | 1981 | 1966 |
| Jarvisburg | 163 | 1999 | 1992 |
| Craven Gap | 110 | 1975 | 1969 |
| Shallotte | 95 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Jamesville | 82 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Cherryville | 80 | 1968 | 1966 |
| Sawmill | 73 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Congleton | 73 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Sturgills | 67 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Speed | 61 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Call | 61 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Dortches | 56 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Climax | 54 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Monticello | 52 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Rowland | 51 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Old Trap | 48 | 2024 | 2010 |
| California 2 | 47 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Pinelog | 47 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Fairmont | 46 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Copeland | 46 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Arapahoe | 44 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Saxapahaw | 43 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Ernul | 43 | 2009 | 2001 |
| Jarvisburg 2 | 42 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Mattamuskeet | 41 | 2021 | 1998 |
European Starling Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.