BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

European Starling in Central Hardwoods has held roughly steady: down 5% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-5%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
161Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

European Starling In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 61 (95% range 44–78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
44–7895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 61 (95% range 44–78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026614478
2027614478
2028614478
2029614478
2030614478

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording European Starling in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
KeysburgKENTUCKY3962025
CollinwoodTENNESSEE2182025
CelestineINDIANA2072025
PlumKENTUCKY2072025
GlenTENNESSEE2072025
RoyaltonILLINOIS1862025
ScottsburgINDIANA1802025
WashingtonINDIANA1782025
Iron BridgeKENTUCKY1721998
NewberryINDIANA1662025
AvocaARKANSAS1612024
MillionKENTUCKY1501986
BrazilINDIANA1462025
Buena VistaKENTUCKY1462017
CumbackINDIANA1422025
YorkILLINOIS1402025
Indian SpgsINDIANA1402025
Cole CampMISSOURI1381990
GoshenKENTUCKY1371999
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY1372025
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY1362021
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE1342025
EastviewKENTUCKY1322025
Carter GroveALABAMA1262023
DemunbrunsKENTUCKY1192021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.