BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

European Starling In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

European Starling in Central Hardwoods has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-8%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
160Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 61 (95% range 44–79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-0%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
44–7995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 61 (95% range 44–79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025614479
2026614479
2027614479
2028614479
2029614479

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording European Starling in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HandleyMISSOURI5202023
BrazilINDIANA4372024
GlenTENNESSEE3472024
PlumKENTUCKY3142024
NewberryINDIANA2212024
PleasurevillKENTUCKY1882024
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE1862024
Iron BridgeKENTUCKY1721998
Cedar GroveKENTUCKY1682024
AvocaARKANSAS1612024
Indian SpgsINDIANA1582024
EastviewKENTUCKY1582024
Pond CreekTENNESSEE1552024
New PhilaINDIANA1542024
SwaimALABAMA1532024
WashingtonINDIANA1522024
MillionKENTUCKY1501986
Buena VistaKENTUCKY1462017
PimentoINDIANA1432024
ScottsburgINDIANA1422024
GeorgiaINDIANA1392024
Cole CampMISSOURI1381990
GoshenKENTUCKY1371999
CollinwoodTENNESSEE1372024
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY1362021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.