BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest has edged up: up 13% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+13%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

European Starling In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 26% by 2030 — from 22 in 2025 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 14–42). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
14–4295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 26% by 2030 — from 22 in 2025 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 14–42). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026281442
2027281442
2028281442
2029281442
2030281442

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
South ElmaWASHINGTON4362024
MendotaWASHINGTON1591988
DaytonOREGON1512025
SalemOREGON1422025
AdairOREGON1412025
Warm BeachWASHINGTON1352017
MukilteoWASHINGTON1172025
ScappooseOREGON1102025
Port AngelesWASHINGTON1062025
EverettWASHINGTON922025
RaymondWASHINGTON892021
Mendota 2WASHINGTON892000
Nicolai Mtn.OREGON852025
SvensenOREGON751992
CanbyOREGON742025
Warm Beach 2WASHINGTON672024
CamasWASHINGTON602018
CarnationWASHINGTON582025
MontesandWASHINGTON582024
GarfieldOREGON522025
GreenOREGON412025
YrekaCALIFORNIA392019
ElktonOREGON372025
Emigrant LkOREGON372001
Crescent CtyCALIFORNIA362025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.