BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

European Starling In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest has increased: up 40% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+40%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 22% by 2029 — from 23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 29 (95% range 15–43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+22%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
29Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
15–4395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 22% by 2029 — from 23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 29 (95% range 15–43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025291543
2026291543
2027291543
2028291543
2029291543

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording European Starling in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
South ElmaWASHINGTON4362024
AdairOREGON1632024
MendotaWASHINGTON1591988
Warm BeachWASHINGTON1352017
CanbyOREGON1112024
Pe EllWASHINGTON1102023
Port AngelesWASHINGTON1002024
McminnvilleOREGON962024
MukilteoWASHINGTON902024
RaymondWASHINGTON892021
Mendota 2WASHINGTON892000
DaytonOREGON862024
SvensenOREGON751992
SalemOREGON732024
ScappooseOREGON712023
Warm Beach 2WASHINGTON672024
CamasWASHINGTON602018
MontesandWASHINGTON582024
Nicolai Mtn.OREGON572024
UmpquaOREGON512024
YrekaCALIFORNIA392019
Emigrant Lake 2OREGON392024
Emigrant LkOREGON372001
RainierWASHINGTON372019
Bay ViewWASHINGTON362017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.