BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

European Starling In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainGeneralists

European Starling in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-37%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 93 in 2024 to a central estimate of 76 (95% range 46–105). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029
76Projected 2029 index
46–10595% range
±10.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258050109
20267949108
20277848107
20287747106
20297646105

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording European Starling in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
RomulusNEW-YORK5012000
GarrettsvileOHIO4671991
Sugar GrovePENNSYLVANIA3832024
ChurchvilleNEW-YORK2842024
MacdougallNEW-YORK2642024
WatertownNEW-YORK2622012
ArgyleNEW-YORK2122024
EspyvillePENNSYLVANIA2102024
Valley CityOHIO2092024
LattasburgOHIO1882024
E YoungstownNEW-YORK1812023
HiramOHIO1772021
New SomersetOHIO1671993
Canadice LNEW-YORK1492024
ByronNEW-YORK1442024
NaplesNEW-YORK1432024
OrleansNEW-YORK1422024
BranchportNEW-YORK1342024
CayugaNEW-YORK1282024
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA1222023
TeeplevillePENNSYLVANIA1152024
Ballston LkNEW-YORK1081995
West SenecaNEW-YORK1052004
N Victory 2NEW-YORK1042021
Cicero CtrNEW-YORK1022024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.