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Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

European Starling in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-33%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
71Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

European Starling In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 36 in 2025 to a central estimate of 31 (95% range 13–49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
13–4995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 36 in 2025 to a central estimate of 31 (95% range 13–49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026311349
2027311349
2028311349
2029311349
2030311349

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording European Starling in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HaytiMISSOURI9372021
CarlisleLOUISIANA2661988
MaynardARKANSAS2302025
WilsonARKANSAS1882025
KennettMISSOURI1282025
DeventerMISSOURI942025
BrousvilleLOUISIANA932025
LaroseLOUISIANA881992
BlodgettMISSOURI812025
Pawpaw 2TENNESSEE752025
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY692025
Morgan CityLOUISIANA651986
SaffellARKANSAS522019
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI472025
EnglandARKANSAS432025
BardwellKENTUCKY422003
BelairLOUISIANA412025
DundeeMISSISSIPPI412022
BerwickLOUISIANA392018
MoonMISSISSIPPI372021
River RoadLOUISIANA322025
Baton RougeLOUISIANA322025
WhittonARKANSAS311991
PawpawTENNESSEE312012
HarrisburgARKANSAS302019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.