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Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGeneralists

European Starling in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has edged up: up 23% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+23%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
128Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

European Starling In Central Mixed Grass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 26% by 2030 — from 20 in 2025 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 8.0–22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.0–2295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 26% by 2030 — from 20 in 2025 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 8.0–22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026158.122
2027158.122
2028158.122
2029158.022
2030158.022

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording European Starling in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HendleyNEBRASKA3002025
LibertyNEBRASKA2572003
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA2082025
Beloit 2KANSAS1902018
StrattonNEBRASKA1442025
ArthurNEBRASKA1212025
CashionOKLAHOMA812024
WellingtonKANSAS742025
KearneyNEBRASKA662025
SumnerNEBRASKA542025
Crescent LkNEBRASKA502010
HollenbergKANSAS492025
KenesawNEBRASKA412025
DaltonKANSAS362025
ChapmanKANSAS331981
SolomonKANSAS332025
ElginOKLAHOMA332015
AshlandKANSAS312021
TegardenOKLAHOMA312004
Liberty 2NEBRASKA292007
ChambersNEBRASKA292025
ColonyOKLAHOMA291995
KanopolisKANSAS262025
MaxwellNEBRASKA232025
Ft Sill EastOKLAHOMA231994

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.