BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

European Starling In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

European Starling in Oaks and Prairies has edged up: up 23% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+23%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for European Starling in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

European Starling In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 45% by 2030 — from 8.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 0.00–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±82.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, European Starling in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 45% by 2030 — from 8.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 0.00–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026130.0026
2027130.0026
2028130.0026
2029130.0026
2030130.0026

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording European Starling in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
DallasTEXAS502025
BeggsOKLAHOMA472023
WeatherfordTEXAS422025
ChoctawOKLAHOMA302023
OlaTEXAS252025
GainesvilleTEXAS242025
Lone OakTEXAS222022
College StnTEXAS211990
HenriettaTEXAS202022
GrafordTEXAS182025
AlbanyTEXAS182025
CarlosTEXAS182025
Mount ZionTEXAS182025
HeyburnOKLAHOMA172025
WalburgTEXAS162025
OakwoodTEXAS151995
DikeTEXAS132025
BriteTEXAS132025
Wolfe CityTEXAS121987
DuncanOKLAHOMA112025
SkiatookOKLAHOMA112019
ThorntonTEXAS111984
RhomeTEXAS112025
SeldenTEXAS102025
LydiaTEXAS102025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.